… The Alabama special election is forcing pollsters to confront just about every major challenge in survey research. There’s more uncertainty than usual about who will turn out to vote, and a candidate whose unpopularity may make his committed voters unwilling to admit their support to a pollster. And looming […] Read more »
Everything You Need To Know About Alabama’s Senate Election
Alabama’s long and strange special election for U.S. Senate comes to a close on Tuesday. Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore face off in their bids to fill the seat vacated by Attorney General Jeff Sessions for the remainder of the term. Moore is the favorite, according to the […] Read more »
Will Alabama defy the most powerful trend shaping modern Senate elections?
In today’s Alabama US Senate election, Democrat Doug Jones isn’t running just against Republican Roy Moore. Jones is also running against the most powerful trend shaping modern elections for the US Senate. That trend is a tightening correlation between the way states vote for President and how they vote for […] Read more »
Why 2018 Isn’t Already in the Bag for Democrats
… In spite of Donald Trump’s poor job approval numbers, his meanspirited denunciations of the media and the FBI, his exaggerations and untruths, his endorsement of Roy Moore, his attacks on honorable public servants like Bob Corker, Mitt Romney and Jeff Flake, and his repeatedly unwise statements that undercut or […] Read more »
Pollsters, pundits say Alabama Senate race impossible to predict
The entire political world is watching Alabama’s Senate race, but what happens Tuesday is anybody’s guess. The highly unusual nature of the election, along with the difficulty faced by pollsters, has made the race murkier than a cypress swamp. Recent polls show Republican Roy Moore leading Democrat Doug Jones by […] Read more »
Pollsters throw predictions out the window in Alabama race
Who’s leading in Tuesday’s special Senate election in Alabama? The race is so peculiar and has so many variables that some pollsters are reluctant to say. Rather than put out a single result that could be viewed as a projection in the race between Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy […] Read more »