After he declared victory in a hard-fought race for Montana’s sole House seat, Republican Greg Gianforte turned somber. … One day after Gianforte was charged with assaulting Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs — and after his campaign blamed an “aggressive” and “liberal” Jacobs for the incident — Gianforte apologized to him […] Read more »
‘Health Care’ = Fighting Words In Montana
There was likely good reason why Greg Gianforte, successful Republican candidate for Congress from Montana, lost his cool on the eve of the election — scuffling with a reporter, breaking the man’s glasses and ending up with a misdemeanor assault charge: He, like many Republicans these days, walks a perilous […] Read more »
Montana went Republican, as expected
We ran three polls of Montana: May 12, 19, and 25 (12 PM MT to 7 PM MT). On the May 12 poll we had Republican Gianforte +12 and we had Gianforte holding that lead a week later on May 19. We were not planning on a running an additional […] Read more »
Why Montana just elected Greg Gianforte, a man charged with assault, to Congress
Lee Banville, The University of Montana Until just about 24 hours before the polls closed, the race for Montana’s sole congressional seat seemed to be focused on health care, Donald Trump and gun rights. Republican businessman Greg Gianforte appeared to be headed for a likely victory in the race against […] Read more »
What to Make of Montana?
… Clinton lost Montana by 20 points last year, and musician Rob Quist, the Democratic nominee, lost by six points on Thursday, a 14-point net improvement. It’s another example of this trend and is probably a sign of increased Democratic engagement after the party took a nap in special elections […] Read more »
A Smarter Way to Interpret 2017’s Special Elections
The results of individual special elections, like Thursday’s in Montana between Democrat Rob Quist and Republican Greg Gianforte, can’t always foretell what will happen in the next high-stakes midterm. Each district presents its own unique set of variables, like flawed candidates or dreadfully unpopular governors. But taken collectively, the margins […] Read more »