If Mayor de Blasio does not seem to be breaking a sweat about his re-election bid, it’s because he is looking at some very positive numbers —which show him with a wide lead over his political rivals. Our NY1/Baruch College City Poll shows that if the election for City Hall […] Read more »
There’s only one Trump — that’s a key challenge for Democrats targeting GOP seats in 2018
Democrats have hoped that President Trump’s deep unpopularity would propel them to gains in next year’s midterm election as they fight to take control of the House and improve their position in the Senate. But last year’s contests and this year’s special elections suggest a complication: Trump is so distinctive […] Read more »
Beyond opposing Trump, Democrats keep searching for a message
The loss in last week’s special congressional election in Georgia produced predictable hand-wringing and finger-pointing inside the Democratic Party. It also raised anew a question that has troubled the party through a period in which they have lost ground political. Simply put: Do Democrats have a message? Right now, the […] Read more »
Four more lessons from this year’s special elections
As Republicans said on Wednesday, check the scoreboard. Four congressional elections have been held in seats vacated by Republicans who joined the Trump administration. All four have been won by Republicans, albeit by single-digit margins. Democrats, who hoped to put up a win to prove that the public was rejecting […] Read more »
The Pelosi Blame Game
As I predicted back in March, Democratic House Leader Nancy Pelosi played an outsized role in the special elections held in GOP-leaning seats this spring. Republicans pounded the Atlanta airwaves in the GA-06 special election with thousands of ads attacking Democrat Jon Ossoff, who positioned himself as a moderate and […] Read more »
What Democrats’ Defeat in Georgia Means—and Doesn’t
Four recent special elections in Republican-held House districts, including Tuesday’s showdown in the northern Atlanta suburbs, have left both parties facing the same ambiguous equation they confronted as 2017 began. Significantly improved Democratic performance in all four contests has provided evidence that enough voters are uneasy about Donald Trump’s turbulent […] Read more »