Early exit poll results in today’s race for New Jersey governor confirm: Chris Christie is the least popular governor in America. CONT. NBC News Read more »
NBC News Early Exit Polls: Trump Not a Factor in Governor Races
One of the key questions about today’s gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey is whether or not these races are a referendum on President Trump. Of course, he is not on the ballot today and we do not know yet which candidates have won or lost. But we asked […] Read more »
The most important things we’ll learn on Election Day 2017
The governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey usually receive heightened attention because they are the first big statewide races (except for special elections) after a new president takes office. But after all the tumult of Donald Trump’s first months as president, this year’s focus is even more intense — […] Read more »
After a Tough 2016, Many Pollsters Haven’t Changed Anything
A year after polls broadly overestimated Hillary Clinton’s strength in the decisive Rust Belt battleground states, top pollsters and analysts across the survey industry have reached a broad near-consensus on many of the causes of error in the 2016 presidential election. But so far, public pollsters — typically run by […] Read more »
How polling methodology affects Ralph Northam’s lead in the Virginia governor’s race
Final polls show Democrat Ralph Northam holding a slight edge over Republican Ed Gillespie before Tuesday’s election for governor of Virginia. But a lot of uncertainty remains, especially given the typically low turnout in off-year elections and recent poll misfires in Virginia. Polls significantly underestimated Republican candidates in the 2013 […] Read more »
Avoiding Trump, but Adopting His Divisive Playbook: Will It Work in Virginia?
Propelled by demographic changes that are turning Virginia into an increasingly blue state and a liberal base energized by the convulsive Trump presidency, Democrats have long been favored to retain the governorship here when the state goes to the polls on Tuesday. But a racially tinged, divisive campaign by the […] Read more »