After Ralph Northam’s lopsided victory in Virginia, it’s time to rethink a long-held political axiom: Democrats lose when they campaign on stronger gun laws. Conventional wisdom on gun policy holds that despite widespread public support for common-sense gun safety measure, the only people who actually vote on the issue are […] Read more »
Alabama Senate: Jones Now Narrowly Favored
It’s amazing to write, and there’s time for our outlook to change, but here goes: A Democrat is now a narrow favorite to win a Senate special election in Alabama. We’re changing our rating of the Dec. 12 special election from Likely Republican all the way to Leans Democratic. Republicans […] Read more »
Could a Democrat Actually Win a Senate Seat in Alabama? Precedents Are Few, but Telling
A Democratic victory in an Alabama Senate race would rank as one of the most improbable, astonishing outcomes in the last few years of improbable, astonishing political events. So, yes, this could happen. The Roy Moore-Doug Jones contest is like a mad experiment to test the limits of Republican strength […] Read more »
NRSC poll: Moore trails Jones by 12
Republican Roy Moore is trailing Democrat Doug Jones by 12 points in the Alabama special Senate election, according to a poll conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee after five women accused Moore of pursuing them as teenagers. CONT. Alex Isenstadt, Politico Read more »
Why McConnell Has So Little Leverage Over Moore In Alabama
National Republicans have called on Alabama Senate nominee Roy Moore to step aside after allegations of child molestation. On Monday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell even upped his call for Moore to quit the race, ditching the if-the-allegations-are-true qualifier and saying he may also support a write-in campaign. Moore doesn’t […] Read more »
What Matters for Moore Is the View from Alabama, Not Washington
The accelerating litany of serious accusations against U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore of Alabama has prompted incumbent Republican senators to denounce and distance themselves from their party’s embattled nominee over the past few days. … This is all perfectly newsworthy, but not likely to matter too much in terms of […] Read more »