Allegations of sexual misconduct against the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Alabama, Roy Moore, have rocked the special election in the state. In this reddest of red states, the polls are inconsistent, and many lack the scientific rigor that instills confidence in the polls. Can the polls be believed? […] Read more »
If 2018 Is Like 2017, the House Will Be a Tossup
Assume, for the moment, that next year’s midterm elections go exactly like this year’s special and general elections. What would happen? The Democrats would post sweeping gains. They would win the House national popular vote, probably by a wide margin. But the battle for House control would be close. The […] Read more »
Could Roy Moore flip deep-red Alabama to blue?
As allegations of sexual misconduct against Roy Moore multiply and polls suggest he could lose the senate race he once led by double-digits, political analysts offer one cautionary refrain: Remember, it’s Alabama and he’s a Republican. But a look at Moore’s last general election in the state shows its voters […] Read more »
Alabama Senate Race Aggravates Deep Divide in Republican Party
There was a time when the question of whether to disown a candidate accused of sexually abusing a 14-year-old girl was fairly straightforward. But the divisions in the Republican Party run so deep that the latest rallying cry for many on the right has become the case of Roy S. […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Jones leads Moore by 8 points in Alabama Senate race
Alabama voters want a candidate who will represent their state with honor — and they think Doug Jones has strong moral character and Roy Moore doesn’t. That gives the Democrat the lead in the U.S. Senate race. … Support from women is the key to the Democrat’s advantage in this […] Read more »
Politics & Polls podcast: The Day the Donkey Roared
Democrats triumphed in the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races Nov. 7, which some say is a strong rebuke to Republican President Donald Trump. Are the democratic victories a predictor of what’s to come in the midterm results next year? Joining this episode are Larry Sabato and Geoffrey Skelley of […] Read more »