This coming Tuesday, Alabamians will go to the polls to decide their next U.S. senator in a rare December special election. While the Yellowhammer State is heavily Republican — President Donald Trump carried it by 28 percentage points in 2016 — the Senate contest is a Toss-up. The candidacy of […] Read more »
These are the women who could elect Roy Moore
If Republican Roy Moore wins next week’s Senate special election in Alabama, it will be largely because of his support among women. More specifically, Moore’s ability to survive the allegations of sexually pursuing young girls, which have rocked his campaign, will likely turn on whether he can maintain his pre-scandal […] Read more »
Lots Of Alabama Voters Care About Roy Moore’s Scandals
Roy Moore, who has been accused by two women of initiating unwanted sexual contact with them when they were underaged, is back in the lead in the most recent polls of Alabama’s Senate race. Although it’s still anyone’s election — turnout is hard to model in special elections and Moore’s […] Read more »
Is Roy Moore winning? Don’t ask the pollsters
… For all the national attention and the millions of dollars spent to win the seat, there’s relatively little public polling in the contest. Only three public surveys in the average have been conducted since the Thanksgiving holiday, and odds are you’ve never heard of two of the three pollsters. […] Read more »
The Media Stopped Covering Roy Moore’s Sex Scandal, Then He Bounced Back
… I’ll cover more of the polling data closer to election day. What I want to address today is the movement in the polls, rather than our estimates of the election day vote share. Specifically, I want to focus on the staggering amount of attention Moore’s scandal garnered in the […] Read more »
Alabama’s Disdain for Democrats Looms Over Its Senate Race
… Mr. Moore was never widely popular in Alabama, even among Republicans; his zealous fan base has been just enough in some past elections, and in others — his two poor showings in Republican primaries for governor — it has been far short of enough. The aversion to Mr. Moore […] Read more »