Alabama Special Election Takes Place in One of the Reddest States

… According to Gallup data from the first half of 2017, only a handful of states have a greater Republican edge than Alabama — consistent with what Gallup found in 2016. Half of the state’s residents (50%) identify as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party, while a third identify […] Read more »

Up for Grabs: Turnout Big Question in Alabama Senate Race

Slight differences in turnout could change the outcome of tomorrow’s special U.S. Senate election in Alabama. According to the Monmouth University Poll , a standard midterm turnout model gives Republican Roy Moore a slight advantage. A higher, although less likely, near-presidential election turnout would give Democrat Doug Jones a slim […] Read more »

Roy Moore’s Alabama

… I have closely studied Winston County history and have long been proud of my ancestral ties. I wanted to explore whether traditional Republicanism could fully explain how the Old South’s most independent thinkers became Trump zombies willing now to send a plausibly accused pedophile to the Senate rather than […] Read more »

In Alabama, no good outcomes for the Republican Party

Every competitive special election draws outsized attention, but few deserve it more than Tuesday’s Senate contest in Alabama. No matter the outcome, the results will reverberate loudly across the country — and nowhere more than inside the Republican Party. … For Republicans, there likely can be no truly good outcome. […] Read more »