… The Russia story has begun to follow a familiar cycle: A major development or revelation is made public, followed by a flurry of follow-up stories that add new details. Democrats express outrage; a handful of Republicans express concerns. Perhaps a congressional hearing is held. And then the story fades […] Read more »
‘Thanks, Comey,’ Says Team Trump
The polling analysts who worked for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign had a name for the many Americans who didn’t like him but didn’t like Hillary Clinton either: “double haters.” Many of these double haters seemed likely to vote anyway, given their long voting history. “They were a sizable bloc,” Joshua […] Read more »
Bad News For House Republicans: Clinton Won’t Be On The Ballot In 2018
… Midterm elections are different from those that take place in presidential election years. And midterm elections that take place with an unpopular president in office are very different from presidential election years that have two historically unpopular candidates at the top of the major-party tickets. Republican congressional candidates in […] Read more »
Trump and race
Many months after the election of Donald Trump, new data and research findings continue to provide fresh light on that critical historical moment. The main strand of this research is a search to understand who voted for each candidate, and what motivated their vote. The results are not entirely intuitive, […] Read more »
Most Americans say Donald Trump Jr. shouldn’t have taken that meeting
Almost 6 in 10 Americans say President Donald Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and then-campaign chairman Paul Manafort should not have taken a meeting last summer with a Russian lawyer who they thought would be providing negative information about Hillary Clinton, according to a new […] Read more »
How Fear of Falling Explains the Love of Trump
… The question that persists six months after Mr. Trump’s inauguration is why six key states — Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, along with 220 counties nationwide — flipped from Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016. Why did these voters change their minds? These are men and […] Read more »