Poll Hub celebrates its fiftieth episode! On this special episode, the Poll Hub team clears up a bit of confusion. Dr. Lee M. Miringoff found himself amid a Twitterstorm last week about comments he made during a recent interview on the Hill.tv’s, What America’s Thinking. Find out just what Dr. […] Read more »
About that claim in the NYT that the immigration issue helped Hillary Clinton? The numbers don’t seem to add up.
Today I noticed an op-ed by two political scientists, Howard Lavine and Wendy Rahm, entitled, “What if Trump’s Nativism Actually Hurts Him?” … Now I was curious, so I thought I’d check the numbers. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia U.), Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science Read more »
What if Trump’s Nativism Actually Hurts Him?
President Trump’s short-lived family separation policy extended the hard line on immigration he promoted during his presidential campaign. Many analysts believe that this strategy helped him win the election by politicizing latent nativist sentiment among white Americans. … Contrary to received wisdom, however, the immigration issue did not play to […] Read more »
What Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s victory says about the Democratic Party and 2020
Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upset of Rep. Joe Crowley in New York’s 14th District’s Democratic primary is sending shockwaves through Washington. A lot of people are asking how she pulled it off. Like many shocking victories, there probably isn’t one cause. But a number of the different factors that likely catapulted […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Americans think Russia investigation is serious and should continue
Most Americans continue to believe that the Russian effort to influence the 2016 presidential election is a serious matter that should be investigated, but the constant criticism by President Donald Trump of special counsel Robert Mueller is taking its toll, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS released Friday. […] Read more »
Most Americans lack confidence in Trump to deal appropriately with Mueller probe
As special counsel Robert Mueller’s inquiry into Russian involvement in the 2016 election continues, most Americans express confidence in him to conduct a fair investigation. But the public is far less confident in Donald Trump to handle matters related to the investigation appropriately. CONT. Alec Tyson, Pew Read more »