… “We have created an electorate full of pundits and strategists, and the result is that we’re puzzling through not who we like but who we imagine someone else will like,” said Senator Brian Schatz, Democrat of Hawaii. “It’s a fool’s errand to imagine who will be appealing to someone […] Read more »
Americans Say They Would Vote For A Woman, But …
… For months now, voters have told reporters that they want to elect a woman — but after Hillary Clinton’s loss in 2016, they simply can’t imagine a woman winning against Trump. And this calculus is often justified by beliefs about other people’s sexism — an Ipsos/Daily Beast poll in […] Read more »
It’s a Question No One Says They Want to Ask. But the Women Running for President Keep Hearing It.
Some people whisper it, some apologize for it, and some are very careful to mention their neighbors — their neighbors would be the ones to ask. “Do you really think a woman could be elected president?” … Privately, Democratic strategists, candidates and officials say they’ve been alarmed by how deeply […] Read more »
No, Russian Twitter trolls didn’t demonstrably push Trump’s poll numbers higher
There will always be an audience for a particular type of story about the 2016 election — claims that Russia’s social media activity powered President Trump’s eventual victory. There is a sizable portion of the American public that believes Trump’s electoral-vote victory was illegitimate; some large percentage of that group […] Read more »
Russian Twitter propaganda predicted 2016 US election polls
Trump’s poll numbers went up after high levels of Russian troll activity, though Clinton’s didn’t go down. AP/Mary Altaffer, Chuck Burton Damian Ruck, University of Bristol When Robert Mueller completed his long-awaited investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election, he left many questions unanswered. But one conclusion was […] Read more »
There Are Really Two Distinct White Working Classes
… Marginal shifts in partisan balloting by the white working class have been a crucial determinant in the outcome of elections since 1968. This non-college white constituency — pollster shorthand for both the white working class and the white middle class without college degrees — makes up a massive bloc […] Read more »