In the contentious weeks leading up to Election Day, voters are deeply divided over the candidates, major issues and the nation’s past and future course. And, in a new survey, most voters say these differences even extend to disputes over basic facts. CONT. Pew Read more »
Politics & Polls podcast: House and Senate Races
While it may be hard to look away from the steel cage match between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, it’s time to start looking “down ticket,” as congressional races could be one of the biggest stories in the 2016 election. What happens in the House and Senate races will ultimately […] Read more »
No, one 19-year-old Trump supporter probably isn’t distorting the polling averages all by himself
… On Wednesday, the New York Times published an interesting piece that looked at how the USC/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” tracking poll weights its sample. The article suggested that the weighting was the main factor in causing the Daybreak poll to be the only major survey that had showed Donald […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 7 points
Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has increased to seven points, as more than half of voters say he is not qualified to be president. That’s according to a just-released national Fox News Poll of likely voters. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
Will This Deja Vu Be Different?
Over the last year we’ve witnessed a familiar pattern: Trump does or says something controversial/contentious/reprehensible (think: attacks on Judge Curiel and the Khan family), his poll numbers plummet and talk ensues about a Hillary Clinton “landslide” and a down ballot wipe out. … Then, like clockwork, the race stabilizes. … […] Read more »
Trump Isn’t Teflon
A series of women have accused Donald Trump of sexually assaulting them. Trump has denied the claims. But given the number of accusers and the release of a tape last week that showed Trump bragging about actions similar to the ones the women described, the stories are likely to be […] Read more »