Donald Trump has said that he loves ill-educated people. And well he might, since they form part of the bedrock of the coalition that gave him the Republican presidential coalition. At this moment, two sayings make a relevant political point: (1) There is nothing more dangerous than ignorance in action; […] Read more »
Donald Trump is refusing to pay his campaign pollster three-quarters of a million dollars
Donald Trump’s hiring of pollster Tony Fabrizio in May was viewed as a sign that the real estate mogul was finally bringing seasoned operatives into his insurgent operation. But the Republican presidential nominee appears to have taken issue with some of the services provided by the veteran GOP strategist, who […] Read more »
As Usual, Voters Say This Election More Important Than Most
Seven in 10 U.S. voters say the outcome of the presidential election matters more to them this year than it did in prior election years — in line with what Gallup recorded at this stage of the past three presidential campaigns. CONT. Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »
Nate Silver was very wrong about Trump. Now, he needs to get it right.
… If a statistics guru can be a rock star, Silver surely is. But even rock stars have bad days. Silver, 38, had a run of them a few months ago, when it became obvious that his consistent early dismissals of Donald Trump’s chances to be the Republican presidential nominee […] Read more »
How Much Do ‘October Surprises’ Move The Polls?
People are already calling it an “October surprise” — an unexpected moment late in the campaign that could change the trajectory of the election. The news that the FBI is looking into a new batch of Hillary Clinton’s emails (found on the computer of Anthony Weiner) is certainly surprising. And […] Read more »
CBS battleground poll: Partisans divide on news of FBI, emails
News of the FBI’s decision spread quickly through the battleground states – eight in ten likely voters had heard about it by Saturday – and partisans quickly went to their respective corners: Republicans think it’s bad and expect the emails to contain things damaging to Clinton, and most Democrats say […] Read more »