President-elect Donald Trump’s public image has notably improved since winning the presidency in November, according to the latest George Washington University Battleground Poll. Of the voters surveyed, 45 percent had a favorable opinion of the president-elect, while 49 percent viewed him negatively. This represents a large swing from the last […] Read more »
Of emails and image
We’re accustomed to the trope that this year’s presidential election featured the two most unpopular candidates in history. It’s true, but it was not foreordained, at least not for Hillary Clinton, who, not so long ago, was the most popular public official in the country. However, her image was badly […] Read more »
Most Americans Who See Fake News Believe It, New Survey Says
Fake news headlines fool American adults about 75% of the time, according to a large-scale new survey conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs for BuzzFeed News. The survey also found that people who cite Facebook as a major source of news are more likely to view fake news headlines as accurate […] Read more »
New Polling: HB2 Led to Pat McCrory’s Defeat
Today, HRC and Equality North Carolina released the results of major post-election polls conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research showing that the majority of the electorate — including voters that supported Donald Trump and Mike Pence — has in no way backed down from supporting LGBTQ equality. Additionally, North Carolina […] Read more »
The politics of the rising American electorate
For more than a decade now, we have been predicting that the changing demographic make-up of our country would change the electorate and our politics and decide elections. Last year we projected that the rising American electorate (RAE) — the rapidly growing group of unmarried women, millennials and non-white voters […] Read more »
Which was the most accurate national poll in the 2016 presidential election?
An underappreciated fact about last month’s presidential election: the national polls were pretty accurate, on average. (The state polls are a different story.) … But this begs another question: which pollster or pollsters were the most accurate in 2016? As he did in 2008 and 2012, Fordham University political scientist […] Read more »