… It was clear from the start that Mrs. Clinton was struggling to reassemble the Obama coalition. At every point of the race, Mr. Trump was doing better among white voters without a college degree than Mitt Romney did in 2012 — by a wide margin. Mrs. Clinton was also […] Read more »
How pollsters could use social media data to improve election forecasts
Donald Trump’s Nov. 8 victory surprised almost everyone. But if pollsters had looked at Twitter, they might have recognized that the race was close — or so we learned in our recent research. Even when polls were showing a big lead for Hillary Clinton, real-time analysis of social media was […] Read more »
Americans Support Congressional Inquiry into Russian Hack
High-profile Republican stalwarts John McCain and Lindsay Graham have contradicted President-elect Donald Trump’s dismissal of CIA conclusions that Russia interfered in the US presidential election. The two senators issued a statement along with Democrats Jack Reed and Charles Schumer calling for a special committee to investigate the Russian cyberattacks. In […] Read more »
Poll: Trump has not yet made progress in uniting USA
As Inauguration Day approaches, Donald Trump has made little progress in uniting a divided nation or reassuring the voters who didn’t support him in November, a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds. Instead, a majority of Americans, including one in five Trump voters, say the president-elect hasn’t done enough to prevent […] Read more »
Voters Really Did Switch To Trump At The Last Minute
Donald Trump’s somewhat surprising win has forced many political analysts to wonder: Were we wrong all along in thinking Hillary Clinton had the upper hand, or was late-breaking movement to Trump part of the reason why polling averages missed his upset Electoral College victory? There’s certainly evidence that the polls […] Read more »
Here’s the real reason Rust Belt cities and towns voted for Trump
Donald Trump won the 2016 election largely because he carried Rust Belt states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa, doing especially well in small cities and towns. … My research suggests that Rust Belt populism is rooted in the region’s loss of locally owned industry — not simply because of […] Read more »