As they investigate the forces behind the party’s stunning losses in November, Democrats are coming to a troubling conclusion. The party didn’t just lose among rural white voters on Election Day, it may have failed to capture them in its pre-election polling as well. Many pollsters and strategists believe that […] Read more »
Hillary Can’t Count on the Economy
If you read the coverage of the October jobs report you’d think Americans should have been popping champagne and singing happy days are here again. Jobs up. Wages up. Unemployment down. The conventional wisdom also suggested that the good economic news would boost Hillary Clinton’s chances to win in 2016. […] Read more »
As Kentucky Goes . . .
… It’s always a little problematic reading national import into the results of odd-year elections, just because there are so few of them. … Still, these elections offer larger meanings, chiefly in what they say about the political shape of the two parties a year before their presidential nominees face […] Read more »
What To Make Of Kentucky’s Polling Failure
It feels like déjà vu all over again: The polls in a major election were off by a wide margin. The surveys leading up to Tuesday’s gubernatorial election in Kentucky pointed to a close fight between Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Matt Bevin, with Conway holding a slight edge in […] Read more »
What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?
Matt Bevin’s victory in the Kentucky governor’s race is yet another sobering reminder that polling is a risky business. And for some Republicans, Kentucky could be a glimmer of hope for GOP Sen. David Vitter’s gubernatorial bid in Louisiana. Bevin’s victory wasn’t the political shockwave on par with Eric Cantor’s […] Read more »
GOP win in Kentucky sets up unprecedented Affordable Care Act fight
… The disconnect between Obamacare and KYnect was one of the great paradoxes of American politics. In polls, Kentucky voters rejected Obamacare at roughly the rate they rejected the president, 2-1. But they were fond of KYnect, which [Gov. Steve] Beshear created by executive order, bypassing a gridlocked Kentucky legislature. Month […] Read more »