The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is building a national computer model to predict voters’ marital status, with hopes of targeting what may be the party’s most important demographic group: unmarried women. “The completed model will let us pinpoint unmarried women as the target of specific, poll-tested messages delivered through field, […] Read more »
Buckle Up for More Gridlock
By a quirk of fate, we may be in for some pretty turbulent Senate elections, not only this November but in 2016 and 2018 as well. Majority status could resemble a rubber band as much as anything else. It is entirely plausible that the Senate will tip back into GOP […] Read more »
Will we throw the bums out?
… A few months ago, one pundit acknowledged that Americans “usually don’t throw their law maker out of office.” But, “new polls indicate that times and perceptions about throwing the bums out may be changing.” Earlier, another distinguished commentator opined, “the nation may be headed for an anti-incumbent election in […] Read more »
Obamacare met its goal. But Democrats should still be worried.
… When you ask people about Obamacare, what they hear is you asking about Obama. As in, people are unable to separate their views about the law from their views about the president. And, in both cases — like and hate — those views are deeply held and essentially immobile. […] Read more »
The race-tinged generation gap that shapes American politics
New data from Gallup starkly illustrates how a racially tinged generation gap has shaped American politics in the Obama era – a reality that likely will hurt Democrats this year, even as it threatens to damage Republican prospects for the future. … This year, that gap probably favors the GOP […] Read more »
Democrats Scramble to Stave Off Midterm Disaster
If it were only President Obama’s flagging poll numbers, the problem for Democrats of how to mobilize core supporters to vote this fall would be bad enough. Midterm elections for an unpopular president’s party are almost always bleak. But it is not only that. The very structure of the 21st-century […] Read more »