Whether we are at a tipping point in the 2014 election depends, first, on whether Democrats can get to a strong economic message – and next week we will be releasing our results on the women’s economic agenda. But it will depend further on whether the Affordable Care Act – […] Read more »
D.C. Voting Spotlights Divide Among Democrats
… The racial, ethnic and economic diversity in the nation’s urban areas, particularly the country’s biggest cities, has inherent divides and tensions, some of which were on display in this week’s mayoral primary in Washington, D.C. The Democratic primary spotlighted challenges ahead for the party as it tries to hold […] Read more »
In 2014 Midterms 40% Say They’ll Vote Democratic, 36% Say Republican; but 43% Want Neither Party to Control Congress
As the 2014 midterms are approaching, the latest Reason-Rupe national poll finds 40 percent of Americans plan to vote for the Democratic candidate running in their district while 36 percent plan to vote Republican. However, when asked which party they want controlling Congress, a strong plurality (43 percent) opted for […] Read more »
Early Signs of Another Republican Midterm Wave
Today we are releasing our first survey of the 2014 landscape, a cooperative endeavor conducted with Democracy Corps for NPR. Greenberg Quinlan Rosner conducted the calls March 19-23, 2014, and compiled the data. The survey polled 840 likely 2014 voters nationally. The sample contains 6 percentage points more Democrats than […] Read more »
Midterm 2014: Where Things Stand Now
Election Day 2014 is now almost exactly seven months away, which is both near and far. … So with the caveat that plenty can change, we know enough about the political environment, fundamentals, candidates and other factors that will impact 2014 to offer a new Crystal Ball feature this week: […] Read more »
Rich Suburbs Can’t Save Democrats This November
Last fall, Democrat Terry McAuliffe defied the odds and beat Republican Ken Cuccinelli in Virginia’s gubernatorial race. Democrats, already suffering from President Obama’s flagging approval rating and ominous Senate prospects, began hoping they could tune out other failures and use their strategy in that swing-state race as a template to […] Read more »