… A decade ago, Obama memorably rebutted the trope that the United States could be neatly cleaved into a red and a blue America that pits coastal liberals against inland traditionalists. But in one very measurable and consequential sense, there are two Americas. There is the America that votes in […] Read more »
Why the Democrats’ Turnout Problem Is Worst in North Carolina
… North Carolina might be the state where Democrats suffer the most from low midterm turnout. The state is divided between older, culturally Southern and conservative voters, and younger, more diverse and more liberal voters, especially around the Research Triangle and Charlotte. In presidential elections, those two groups fight nearly […] Read more »
Battleground voters more positive on Affordable Care Act
This poll in the House battleground shows all of the major indicators largely unchanged since our last battleground poll in December when the country was pretty unhappy with the state of things. The anti-incumbent mood, Republican brand problems, President’s approval rating, and the congressional vote are all largely unchanged. But […] Read more »
Poll Shows Problems for Obama, Peril for Senate Democrats
President Obama’s approval rating remains ominously weak among the constituencies that could tip the battle for control of the Senate in November, the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll has found. Obama’s overall approval, standing at just 41 percent, remains near the lowest level ever recorded in the 20 Heartland […] Read more »
Women could be critical to key races, and both parties are going all out to get their votes
… Women make up a larger percentage of the electorate than men, they are disproportionately likely to go to the polls in midterm election years, and they are more likely to vote Democratic than men are to vote Republican. … Both parties spin their own version of political algebra that […] Read more »
In Poorest States, Political Stigma Is Depressing Participation in Health Law
… Republican candidates and the so-called super PACs supporting them have made assailing the Affordable Care Act their No. 1 issue for the midterm elections, and they are focusing their attacks in states with the most competitive Senate and House campaigns. In few places is that as evident as here […] Read more »