As the midterms approach, Democrats are underperforming among a voting bloc that supported Barack Obama over Mitt Romney almost 2-to-1 in 2012. That’s the takeaway from a new online poll of millennial adults conducted by Harstad Strategic Research. The survey found that although more than seven in 10 millennials lean […] Read more »
Ahead of Midterms, Anti-Incumbent Sentiment Strong
The environment for congressional incumbents seeking re-election may be more challenging in 2014. With six months to go before the midterms, 22% of U.S. registered voters say most members of Congress deserve re-election, and 72% say they do not. The “deserve re-election” figure is on pace to be the lowest […] Read more »
ObamaCare as a punch line
… The entire culture has decided that ObamaCare, arguably the president’s signature “accomplishment,” is a complete joke. This has literally changed politics in this election cycle. Previously, I was worried that Republican primary candidates would — as they have for several cycles — butcher each other this year and spoil […] Read more »
The 2014 Election Is the Least Important in Years
… The past 14 years have featured a number of exceptionally exciting elections with control of the federal government at stake. This year, it probably isn’t. … This is not an election without consequences. It’s just that the consequences are a little lower than the ones that we may be […] Read more »
The Tea Party Hasn’t Won on Immigration – So Far
There’s no doubt that establishment Republicans have moved to the right under pressure from the tea party. That’s led some to conclude that even as tea party candidates lose primary battles this year, the tea party movement has won the issues war. But that story line is problematic when it […] Read more »
How Big a Wave?
Last week, Republican primary voters passed their first Senate test, producing a North Carolina nominee, Thom Tillis, who is merely imperfect, not catastrophic. After the disasters of recent years, national Republicans will happily take it. The North Carolina result did nothing to change the expectation among most observers that the […] Read more »