The congressional generic ballot is tied in this week’s Fox News poll, yet the GOP has an important edge: More Republicans than Democrats are really interested in the upcoming elections. If the congressional election were “held today,” 42 percent of voters would support the Democratic candidate in their district, while […] Read more »
It Looks Like African-Americans Really Did Help Thad Cochran Win
Tuesday night, Republican Sen. Thad Cochran defied the polls and defeated tea party challenger Chris McDaniel in the Mississippi Senate primary runoff by a 51 percent to 49 percent margin. Cochran couldn’t have done it without expanding the pool of voters, and in the last three weeks he did just […] Read more »
Tallies Signal Black Voters Played Role in Cochran Win
Sen. Thad Cochran’s upset victory on Tuesday was built in large part on support in Mississippi counties where African Americans are most concentrated, suggesting the unusual occurrence of black voters saving the political fortunes of a Republican office-holder. CONT. Dante Chinni (American U.), Wall Street Journal Read more »
Women’s Economic Agenda: Powerful Impact on the Vote and Turnout in 2014
This is a turning point in the 2014 off-year elections when parties, candidates and leaders can recognize how central are unmarried women and the Rising American Electorate to the Democrats’ chances and how clear a path there is to get their votes and get them to vote. This is the […] Read more »
Big Jump in Turnout Is Key in Thad Cochran’s Victory
Turnout hadn’t increased in a Senate runoff primary election in 30 years until Tuesday night, when a momentous surge of voters allowed Senator Thad Cochran to defeat Chris McDaniel, a Tea Party-backed state senator, in Mississippi’s Republican Senate runoff. … The Cochran campaign’s efforts to appeal to Democratic-leaning black voters […] Read more »
Beware ‘Anti-Incumbent’ Election Hysteria
… I have written about anti-incumbent warnings before, but I hope to try to nip the anti-incumbent narrative in the bud this cycle — right now, in fact, before it spreads. I admit: I’m not optimistic. First, the obvious caveat: I’ve seen plenty of odd political developments over the past […] Read more »