While it’s very hard for third-party and independent candidates to win statewide elections outright, they can have some impact on the outcome. This may be true again in some 2014 contests for U.S. Senate and governor. Some outsider candidates will get a fair amount of press, such as ex-Sen. Larry […] Read more »
Playing in Traffic Is Not Safe Politics
While I have never seen anyone literally thrown under a bus, I would imagine it is quite a grisly sight. In politics, we occasionally see someone throw an individual or a group on their own team under one. That is not a pretty sight either. Early this year, we saw […] Read more »
Could Upbeat Economic News Help Obama, Democrats?
Last week’s news that the U.S. economy gained 288,000 jobs in June seems to confirm the upbeat economic assessments coming from many of the nation’s economists and Wall Street analysts. The question is whether the data and increased optimism one might hear on CNBC will have an effect on the […] Read more »
Will Obamacare be a factor in how you vote?
Though more than half of Americans would like to see changes made to the Affordable Care Act, the national mood toward Obamacare will most likely be a contributing factor rather than a game-changer in this fall’s elections, according to the latest Bankrate Health Insurance Pulse survey. CONT. Jay MacDonald, Bankrate Read more »
Why Polls Can Sometimes Get Things So Wrong
In the aftermath of Eric Cantor’s loss and Thad Cochran’s narrow runoff victory, you might be tempted to conclude that political polling is losing its utility. It isn’t. The science of polling is sound, but if you ask the wrong group of people your poll questions, you can get the […] Read more »
As Numbers Grow, Single Women Emerge as Political Powerhouse
The decline of marriage over the last generation has helped create an emerging voting bloc of unmarried women who are profoundly reshaping the American electorate to the advantage, recent elections suggest, of the Democratic Party. What is far from clear is whether Democrats will benefit in the midterm contests this […] Read more »