In 100 days or so, Democrats and Republicans will know whether the bets they’re placing for the November midterm elections pay off — or don’t. … At stake is control of the Senate, where the Democratic majority is imperiled, and the political landscape Obama will have to negotiate during the […] Read more »
What 2014 is all about. You decide.
What is this election year about? Is it jobs and the economy? Immigration and the border crisis? Obamacare? Women’s health issues? The VA scandal? The minimum wage? A world in turmoil? The image of House Republicans? Anger toward Washington? Power? The signals are mixed. The playing field tilts toward the […] Read more »
The Difference in the Senate Battleground: Economic Agenda for Working Women and Men
A new poll of the 12 states where control of the Senate is being contested, fielded by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Women’s Voice Women Vote Action Fund, shows that control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, but that Democrats’ have a powerful weapon in a […] Read more »
Goodbye to the Republican Wave?
Republicans entered this election cycle with high hopes. President Obama’s approval ratings had sunk into the low 40s, and the rollout of the Affordable Care Act had been an unmitigated disaster. … This year seemed poised to turn into another so-called wave election, like in 2006 or 2010, when a […] Read more »
Voters Are Rational in Midterm Elections
… Let me suggest a different way to assess rationality: people voting for the party they trust more on the issue that is most important to them. So, if you’re an environmentalist who trusts Democrats more than Republicans on the environment but vote for the GOP, you’re irrational. If your […] Read more »
Who Will Win The Senate? A Primer on Midterm Forecasts
With the nominating phase of the congressional campaign just about over and the midterm elections less than four months away, you are going to see an increasing number of predictions, prognostications and more than a few statistically-driven forecast models purporting to tell us how the Republicans and Democrats are going […] Read more »