Pollsters are picking up the pace after a slow start in this midterm election season. Sunday featured the release of a trio of NBC News/Marist polls of the Senate races in Arkansas, Kentucky and Colorado, while the online polling firm YouGov released polls of almost every Senate race in conjunction […] Read more »
Shift in Alaska Helps Republicans Retain Senate Edge
The Senate battleground remains broad and competitive, with 10 races within six percentage points, according to the second wave of data from the New York Times/CBS News/YouGov online panel of more than 100,000 respondents. The results nonetheless suggest that Republicans, who received good news in Alaska, hold an advantage in […] Read more »
Why election forecasters disagree about who will win the Senate
With the 2014 midterms now just two months away, there’s been a recent proliferation of models attempting to forecast the battle for the Senate — models that are showing different results … Very broadly, the most important differences relate to “how uncertain the models are about forecasts for every different […] Read more »
Video: Breaking down the 2014 Senate forecast
The fate of the Senate rests on several key states. Will the Democrats hang on and keep the Senate, and how will this week’s developments in Kansas play into it? Steve Kornacki digs into the numbers with The New York Times’ Nate Cohn. Up with Steve Kornacki Read more »
Why Democrats Can’t Win
Republicans and Democrats are struggling for control of the Senate in this November’s midterm elections. But there is no real fight for control of the House of Representatives. The Republicans are all but assured of retaining control of the House, despite last fall’s unpopular government shutdown and the party’s dismal […] Read more »
The Non-Wave Election
Now that Labor Day is behind us, the most remarkable thing about this midterm election is how little has changed since Memorial Day. In the closest and most crucial contest, for control of the U.S. Senate, only the race in Kansas looks fundamentally different than it did three months ago. […] Read more »