Using the economy as a frame, 2014 should be a good year for incumbents. Unemployment is down, GDP is up and the Great Recession is slipping further into the rearview mirror. And yet this year is looking like a tough one to seek re-election, even for those outside of Washington. […] Read more »
This is how big a drag President Obama is on Senate Democrats
It’s been obvious for a while now that President Obama was going to be a net negative for Democrats trying to hold onto control of the Senate on Nov. 4. But, just how big a drag he actually is has come into focus over the last few days — thanks […] Read more »
Stu Rothenberg: Senate Republicans Gain At Least 7 Seats
While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats. But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain. CONT. Stu Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
Republicans keep edge in latest Senate midterm estimate
If the midterm elections were held today, we might all be in for a late night. Republicans remain more likely to control the Senate, but that estimate is underpinned by very tight races throughout. Many key Senate battleground contests in our latest Battleground Tracker model show just a point or […] Read more »
Video: Is GOP A Lock To Retake The Senate?
George Stephanopoulus talks to Nate Silver about the new FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast. Watch more news videos | Latest world news Read more »
GOP Senate Candidates Open Up Leads in Key States
Republican Senate candidates have opened up leads in the key states of Arkansas and Kentucky, putting them in a strong position to win back the U.S. Senate, according to new NBC News/Marist polls. But another NBC/Marist poll shows Democrats holding on in the blue state of Colorado, suggesting a limit […] Read more »