… Because polls have better predictive value than fundamentals do, it would seem prudent to ask what an unadulterated poll-based snapshot of the Senate race looks like. … But can a snapshot of today’s polls really tell us that much about an election held eight weeks from now? As it […] Read more »
CNN/ORC poll: Most think Congress is worst in their lifetime
Eight weeks before the midterm elections, a new CNN/ORC International poll shows that voters in key geographic regions favor Republican candidates heading into November, highlighting significant challenges for Democrats trying to protect half a dozen vulnerable Senate seats and ultimately control of the chamber. … Overall, Americans are angry with […] Read more »
Republicans Have an Edge in Voter Enthusiasm Heading Into Fall, But Few Cite ACA as Motivating Factor
… This month’s poll takes a special look at registered voters’ views of the ACA and what role, if any, the law might be playing in the upcoming midterm election. Like the public overall, registered voters are more likely to have an unfavorable view of the ACA than a favorable […] Read more »
Democrats Have Plenty of Reasons to Dread November
… The Democrats whom I have talked and emailed with in recent weeks seem increasingly resigned to an ugly midterm election. Of course, it’s not likely to be the wipeout that 2010 was—after all, in the House, the best news for Democrats is that you can’t lose seats you don’t […] Read more »
Public supports strikes in Iraq, Syria; Obama’s ratings hover near his all-time lows
Americans overwhelmingly view Islamic State terrorists as a serious threat to vital U.S. interests and, in a significant shift, widely support airstrikes in Iraq and Syria, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. … Republicans are most supportive of military action, but sizable majorities of Democrats and independents also […] Read more »
Obama Hits a New Low for Leadership, With Criticism on ISIS & Immigration Alike
Barack Obama’s rating for strong leadership has dropped to a new low in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, hammered by criticism of his work on international crises and a stalled domestic agenda alike. With the midterm elections looming, Americans by a 10-point margin, 52-42 percent, see his presidency more […] Read more »