With fewer than five weeks until election day, the political landscape continues to be tilted against President Obama and his party. The battle for control of the Senate — the biggest prize this year — remains close and could tip either way. Those are the findings of NPR’s latest bipartisan […] Read more »
Obama Factor in 2014 Vote Similar to 2010
Registered voters are more likely to view their choice of candidate in this year’s midterm elections as a message of opposition (32%) rather than support (20%) for President Barack Obama. That 12-percentage-point margin is similar to what Gallup measured for Obama in 2010 and George W. Bush in 2006, years […] Read more »
Finding the forecast
With control of the Senate hanging in the balance, all the drama appears to be in that body, with far less focus on the House, which is important in its own right as a test bed for the varieties of forecasts now widely available. History suggests Democrats will lose House […] Read more »
Big swing for Democrats, but not where they need it
Five weeks before the November midterm elections, voters give Democrats an edge over Republicans, according to a CNN/ORC poll released Tuesday. But the poll also indicates most of Democrats’ gains are coming from the Northeast and not from the parts of the country where they’re locked in tight contests that […] Read more »
Republicans Hold the Advantage in Senate Races
With the outcome of up to 11 Senate seats plausibly in doubt, here is what we know—or at least can pretty easily assume. CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
Louisiana Tilting Democratic in 2014
In 2014, more Louisianans identify themselves as or lean Democratic (45%) than Republican (41%), a shift from the slight edge Republicans have held for past three years. The shift in party preferences is likely a welcome indicator for Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu as she attempts to win her fourth term […] Read more »