Most forecasters predict that Republicans will pick up enough seats in the midterms to control the chamber. But Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Commission predicts the Democrats will hold on. NPR News Read more »
What’s the top issue for midterm election voters?
A month ahead of the midterm elections, voters choose the economy (34 percent) as the most important issue that will decide their vote for Congress. Health care comes in second (17 percent), closely followed by terrorism (16 percent). Both Republicans and Democrats choose the economy as the top issue. CONT. […] Read more »
Senate’s Future Likely Hinges on These Three Races
With just 28 days to go until Election Day, the U.S. Senate picture looks remarkably stable—but there is still a great deal of uncertainty. The number of seats in play is either 11 or 12, depending on whether or not you believe that the contest in Minnesota between Democratic incumbent […] Read more »
Unmarried Women Overwhelmingly Favor Democrats in Senate Battleground Races
Unmarried women favor Democratic candidates by an overwhelming 22 points in Senate battleground states, according to a poll released today by the Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund and Democracy Corps. Republican candidates have a slight edge over Democrats in the 12 battleground states, with all likely 2014 voters. But […] Read more »
Pollsters Predict Greater Polling Error In Midterm Elections
… We wanted to see what the most prolific political pollsters had to say about their work, the election, their industry and where it’s headed. We reached out to 60 of the most active political pollsters in the country, and 26 took our survey. CONT. Carl Bialik, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
In 2014 midterms, Republicans increasingly see parallels to 2006 election
A half-dozen senators fighting for their political lives — and their party’s hold on the majority — in tough races while trying to avoid being dragged down by an unpopular president and the stark reality that second-term midterm elections almost never work out for the side controlling the White House. […] Read more »