Barack Obama and his political party are heading into the midterm elections in trouble. The president’s 40 percent job approval rating in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll is the lowest of his career – and the Democratic Party’s popularity is its weakest in polling back 30 years, with more […] Read more »
Democrats Face Strong Headwinds in Fight to Keep Senate Majority
Since March, I have been saying that Republicans had at least a 50 percent chance of retaking a Senate majority this year, and since July, I have upped that chance to 60 percent. There has been the normal ebb and flow of candidates’ fortunes in many individual races since then, […] Read more »
Dems: Don’t trust the polls
Democrats have a new message in the 2014 race for the Senate: Don’t trust the polls. The party is stoking skepticism in the final stretch of the midterm campaign, providing a mirror image of conservative complaints in 2012 about “skewed” polls in the presidential race between President Obama and Republican […] Read more »
Voters Give GOP Edge vs. Dems on Handling Top Issues
The Republicans in Congress hold significant leads over the Democrats on four of the six issues that U.S. registered voters say are most important in determining how they will vote in November: the economy, the way the federal government is working, the situation with Islamic militants in Iraq and Syria, […] Read more »
Democratic Supporters Less Interested in Midterm
Democrats are carrying a significant weakness into the final weeks of the midterm campaign: Their supporters are less interested in the election than are Republican voters, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Annenberg survey finds. CONT. Reid Epstein, Wall Street Journal Read more »
Who Will Lead the Senate? Follow the Prediction Markets
How would commentary on the midterm election look if economists, rather than Beltway pundits, were calling the race? You would read a lot less about personalities, gaffes and gossip, and a lot more about fundamentals like the state of the economy. And you would certainly get a more sophisticated reading […] Read more »