The Pew Research Center has developed a new tool for looking at the 2014 elections – a panel survey that enables us to check in with the same representative group of Americans several times during the course of the campaign. This survey includes far more information about respondents than is […] Read more »
What’s Bugging Voters? Plenty
What’s driving vote preferences in the 2014 midterm elections? Plenty. That’s not always the case. There are many elections in which a single issue has dominated. The economy’s the prime example; a war or other crisis is another. This year, it’s a bunch of stuff. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Impacting the white electorate in Louisiana
A new Democracy Corps survey of likely white voters in Louisiana shows that while Mary Landrieu is in a difficult position and most likely trailing slightly, the race can be moved and Landrieu has a path to achieving the level of white support that is required to win a runoff […] Read more »
Latino Voters and the 2014 Midterm Elections
A record 25.2 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections, making up, for the first time, 11% of all eligible voters nationwide. But despite a growing national presence, in many states with close Senate and gubernatorial races this year, Latinos make up a smaller share of […] Read more »
No, Republicans Aren’t Guaranteed to Win the Senate. Here’s Why.
On Monday, the Libertarian candidate for Senate in Iowa, Doug Butzier, died in a plane crash. Butzier, an emergency room physician, was polling at only two percent. But Republican candidate Joni Ernst leads the Democratic candidate, Bruce Braley, by an even narrower margin. How Butzier’s supporters eventually vote is a […] Read more »
The Polls Might Be Skewed Against Democrats — Or Republicans
… Nonetheless, we’ve reached a stage in campaign season when Democrats have begun to complain that the polls are biased against them. There’s a long tradition of this sort of “unskewing.” The trailing party will say that its internal polls tell a different story or that its turnout operation will […] Read more »