Senate Update: The Swing States That Never Swung

Monday featured a reasonably good set of polls for Republicans. … Republican chances of winning the Senate are 65 percent according to our latest forecast, slightly improved from Sunday. But we’ve talked plenty about races like Colorado. So let’s try something a little different: Considering those races that looked as […] Read more »

Voters Head to the Polls Frustrated and Angry at Congress, President

With only a week to go until the 2014 midterms, the public’s mood can be summed up in three words—frustration, anger, and anxiety. More than five years after the official end of the Great Recession, most people are frustrated by the stagnation of wages and household incomes. They are angry […] Read more »

Voters Expect Republican Wins, in Kansas and Elsewhere

Polls typically ask people which candidate they want to win. But some researchers have come to believe that another question — which candidate they expect to win — produces more meaningful results. When people are asked about their expectations, some may actually give more honest answers about their own voting […] Read more »