Is it possible that Colorado’s Cory Gardner is shaping up to be this election cycle’s Sharron Angle? You might recall what happened to Angle in the Nevada Senate race in 2010. Almost every pre-election poll had Angle, the tea-party-supported Republican challenger to Senate Democratic majority leader Harry Reid, leading the […] Read more »
Are The State Polls Skewed?
… Last month, I examined the possibility that Senate polls could prove to be biased or “skewed” against Democrats. If the polls have even a modest bias against Democrats, the party’s chances of keeping the Senate would be more like 50-50. And if the polls have a more severe anti-Democratic […] Read more »
VIDEO: Meet the Pollsters
State of the 2014 Midterms Read more »
An election about rejection
… Crosscurrents of dissatisfaction, from distrust of politicians to worries about family finances to fears of foreign threats, can be found everywhere in the closing days of Campaign 2014. … The national environment has been shaped by dissatisfaction with President Obama as much as any other single factor. But there […] Read more »
Both Parties See Campaign Tilting to Republicans
Republicans entered the final weekend before the midterm elections clearly holding the better hand to control the Senate and poised to add to their House majority. But a decidedly sour electorate and a sizable number of undecided voters added a measure of suspense. CONT. Jonathan Martin, New York Times Read more »
Why 2014 Isn’t as Good as It Seems for the Republicans
The Republicans are looking forward to having a good week. They are favored to win the Senate, and they could pick up enough House seats to finish with their largest margin since 1928. But perhaps more important to the party’s long-term prospects than Tuesday’s results is what unfolds in the […] Read more »