U.S. registered voters do not have a clear preference on whether the country would be better off if Republicans (29%) or Democrats (27%) controlled Congress, with 40% saying it would be the same regardless of which party is in power. In the 2006 Democratic and 2010 Republican “wave” elections, voters […] Read more »
The Tactical Implications of Using Obama as an Issue in Midterm Campaigns
Republican candidates and independent groups working on behalf of Republican candidates in various Senate and other races this year have spent considerable cost and effort on the campaign tactic of connecting Democratic candidates to President Barack Obama. Their thinking centers on the assumption that this connection of a candidate to […] Read more »
Barack Obama and the curse of the mid-term elections
Barack Obama must not like his fellow Democrats. How else can we explain that the man with the golden political touch when he is on the ballot is political absinthe in the midterms. In our latest national survey, our pre-election poll done October 30-November 2, Obama’s approval rating of 41% […] Read more »
Obama’s Low Approval Rating Casts Shadow Over Democratic Races
… This year many Democratic candidates find their future is in somebody else’s hands — namely Barack Obama’s. Handicapper Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Political Report says Obama’s sagging popularity is casting a long shadow over his fellow Democrats. “If the president’s job approval rating was 5 or 10 points […] Read more »
Polls show deep partisan divide over Affordable Care Act
A comprehensive analysis of data from 27 public opinion polls conducted by 14 organizations, including a poll in September of those most likely to vote, shows an electorate polarized by political party when it comes to the Affordable Care Act (ACA). A majority of Republican likely voters want the next […] Read more »
In a Partisan Atmosphere, It Can Even Be Hard to Find Numbers That Agree
Since his second term began, President Obama has had a solid answer to Republicans’ “Where are the jobs?” complaint. The jobless rate has fallen two full percentage points. Yet Mr. Obama’s own ratings have fallen, too. So has public confidence that the economy is getting better, even as the economy […] Read more »