Just how big was the Republican sweep last night? As Hans suggests, we shouldn’t really examine any one election on its own. So let’s approach this with a bit of perspective. Here are some very tentative election results compared with their averages in midterm elections between 1950 and 2010: CONT. […] Read more »
YouGov poll performance in the 2014 Senate elections
YouGov polled Senate races four times for CBS News and the New York Times over the course of the campaign with interviewing in the final wave between October 16 and 23. In addition, we conducted separate polls, independent of the CBS/New York Times Battleground Tracker, in the week before the […] Read more »
The Asian American Election Eve Poll
Asian Americans remain a solidly Democratic segment of the electorate, with a diverse set of policy views, and are becoming pivotal in key races. The Asian American Election Eve Poll, a pioneering partnership between Asian American Decisions and the AAPI Civic Engagement Fund, interviewed 1,150 Asian Americans between Oct. 30th […] Read more »
What really went wrong for Democrats
The most common explanation we’re hearing for the GOP sweep of a dozen Senate races last night is that an already-treacherous map for Democrats was made a lot worse by the failure of core Dem voter groups to show up. But multiple Democratic pollsters involved in these races identify another […] Read more »
A new GOP mandate?
That’s a question Republicans and Democrats will be debating in coming days, as the GOP makes the case that its election victories add up not only to an electoral wave, but to a mandate — a genuine endorsement of conservative policies — while Democrats cast them as something less. … […] Read more »
Battle for the Senate: How the GOP did it
… From the outset of the campaign, Republicans had a simple plan: Don’t make mistakes, and make it all about Obama, Obama, Obama. Every new White House crisis would bring a new Republican ad. And every Democratic incumbent would be attacked relentlessly for voting with the president 97 or 98 […] Read more »