… Democratic pollster Geoff Garin, who is running surveys in multiple contested Senate races, tells me his polling suggests that, whatever the very real dissatisfaction with the health law, the GOP push to repeal the law remains a minority position, and that the Dem message of “fix and improve” continues […] Read more »
Three Senators Try to Hold Off G.O.P. in South
Things traditionally get started a little late down here, an inclination that runs from mealtimes to political races. But with nearly a year to go before the 2014 election, it is already open season on Senator Mary L. Landrieu, Democrat of Louisiana. … Republicans are so giddy about the prospect […] Read more »
Will 2014 be a wave election? Not likely.
Political waves have crashed on one party or the other repeatedly in recent years. … While a wave is always possible — politics is inherently unpredictable — one that would wipe out a major number of Democrats (or Republicans) would have to be absolutely massive in scope simply because of […] Read more »
Partisan lines harden in public’s view of Obamacare
After two months of stumbles, pratfalls and intensely negative media scrutiny, overall public opinion on President Obama’s healthcare law has not changed as much as one might expect, but partisan lines have hardened, judging by recent surveys. … The opinions of partisans matter in part because they tend to dominate […] Read more »
Can Democrats Recover From the Obamacare Catastrophe?
… No one knows for sure how the next few phases of ACA implementation will go. Democrats’ hopes that their fortunes will improve as a result of upcoming fiscal debates are starting to look pretty shaky, however. Democrats may be counting on Republicans to engage in more self-destructive behavior when […] Read more »
The Battle of 2014
… So the $16-trillion question is: With 35 Senate seats up for grabs next fall, can the Republicans win control of the upper chamber? … Obviously, the unique dynamics of individual races will sometimes be decisive; but on average, races tend to balance themselves out. More generally, such contests are […] Read more »