Democrat Terry McAuliffe has vaulted into the lead over Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli II in a Virginia governor’s race that has left many voters sour on both candidates, according to a new Washington Post/Abt-SRBI poll. McAuliffe leads 47 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis’s […] Read more »
Bill de Blasio Enters NYC Mayoral Race General Election With Wide Lead
Democratic mayoral candidate Bill de Blasio has emerged from the primary campaign with a sizeable lead over Republican Joe Lhota, winning support of nearly two-thirds of likely New York City voters in the first general election poll. De Blasio leads Lhota 65 percent to 22 percent among likely voters, according […] Read more »
The Role of Public Polls
This NYC primary season brought both an anticipated “poll-iferation” and an equally expected questioning of the reliability of public polls. With the first round of 2013 citywide voting now over and primary day in our rear view mirror, let’s assess how the public polls fared. [cont.] Lee Miringoff, Marist Institute […] Read more »
Nate Silver vs. Public Policy Polling
Data modeling whiz Nate Silver and automated pollster Public Policy Polling lit up the Twitter-sphere this afternoon — or at least the polling/political nerd section of it. At issue was the prolific Democratic pollster’s decision, disclosed Wednesday, not to publish the results of a poll on the Colorado state Senate […] Read more »
Bill de Blasio’s diverse coalition could clinch contest for New York mayor
… The latest trio of mayoral polls puts Bill de Blasio just south of the 40% needed to avoid a runoff with likely second-place finisher Bill Thompson, who is 15pt to 20pt behind. De Blasio has made a late charge, but what’s truly surprising to me is how De Blasio […] Read more »
NYC Mayor: de Blasio Widens Lead in Democratic Primary Race
Bill de Blasio, the Democratic mayoral candidate whose progressive message upended his party’s primary campaign this summer, has widened his lead over his rivals just days before the election, a new poll shows. … The poll reveals that de Blasio’s populist, left-wing appeal to disenfranchised New Yorkers is cutting into […] Read more »