Nowadays, nothing looks good for the Republicans. Demographic and generational change is inexorably narrowing the GOP’s traditional path to victory, at a time when the party hasn’t shown any ability to broaden its appeal. The Republicans can’t take advantage of opportunities, either. Congressional Republicans have, somehow, managed to upstage an […] Read more »
Bill de Blasio Maintains Huge Lead Over Joe Lhota Days Before NYC Mayoral Election
… With just days before Tuesday’s election, 65 percent of likely voters say they will vote for de Blasio, compared to 24 percent for Lhota, a new NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows. That’s virtually unchanged from when the campaign started, after three debates. CONT. Jon Schuppe, NBC […] Read more »
Video: Nate Silver Makes ABC News Debut
This morning on “This Week,” FiveThirtyEight.com editor-in-chief and ABC News special contributor Nate Silver of ESPN made his ABC News debut, offering his thoughts on the elections taking place this week and the 2014 midterms. This Week, ABC News Breaking News Read more »
Three new polls show varying leads for McAuliffe in Virginia governor’s race
Three new surveys released Wednesday showed Terry McAuliffe with varying leads in the race for Virginia governor, with each poll having a different estimate of the partisan breakdown of Tuesday’s electorate. CONT. Scott Clement & Ben Pershing, Washington Post Read more »
When Class Trumps Identity
Last week, I wrote about Bill de Blasio’s victory in the Democratic mayoral primary in New York, and mentioned that exit polls showed that his support was “consistently high among all income groups.” … Howard Rosenthal, a political scientist at NYU, wrote to me pointing out that the Times’s own detailed […] Read more »
McAuliffe opens up double-digit lead over Cuccinelli in Virginia governor’s race
Democrat Terry McAuliffe has opened a double-digit lead over Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli II in the race for Virginia governor, in a new poll capturing increasing dissatisfaction among voters with Cuccinelli’s party and his conservative views. According to a new Washington Post-Abt SRBI poll, McAuliffe tops Cuccinelli 51 percent to […] Read more »