It’s an off-year, and turnout is expected to be low. There’s no Obama, Clinton, or Bush on the ballot. It’s the dead of summer, and no one turns out for primaries. Oh, it’s Hollywood. Yet another special election. All of those have been justifications in a year that has seen […] Read more »
Anthony Weiner climbs as NYC mayor race heads for tightest finish since 1977
The New York City mayoral race is a zoo, and we’re all witnesses to it. Over the past two months, I said Anthony Weiner was stronger than initial polling suggested, Christine Quinn might not make the runoff (held if no candidate reaches 40% in the first round) and Bill Thompson […] Read more »
NYC: Anthony Weiner Surges to Lead in Democratic Mayoral Race
Democratic mayoral candidate Anthony Weiner has surged ahead of his opponents in a new NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal poll, transforming himself in just a few weeks from disgraced has-been to mayoral front-runner. … Weiner leads Quinn 25 percent to 20 percent among registered Democrats, the poll by Marist […] Read more »
Massachusetts: Ed Markey leads Gabriel Gomez by 8 points
With just days left before Massachusetts voters head to the polls, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Edward Markey is leading Republican Gabriel Gomez by eight points, according to a new poll released Saturday night by The Republican/MassLive.com in partnership with CBS 3 Springfield. … The poll also found what political observers […] Read more »
The GOP’s Uphill Battle in Massachusetts
… While the leftward lean of Massachusetts has become a part of our understanding of American politics, demographically speaking, the Bay State should be at least decent Republican territory, if you look at some measures. It is older and whiter than the national average, points that tend to be advantages […] Read more »
In Massachusetts Senate Race, Odds for G.O.P. Upset Are Slim
… Mr. Markey now leads by margins ranging from 7 to 11 percentage points in a series of recent nonpartisan polls. With the vote to be held in just eight days, on June 25, Mr. Gomez’s chances for a victory are even slimmer than before. … Our fundamentals-based model, which […] Read more »