Gallup’s landmark study of lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) Americans finds that 44% identify as Democratic, 43% as independent, and 13% as Republican. That compares to 32% of non-LGBT Americans who identify as Democratic, 39% as independent, and 30% as Republican. … While 45% of LGBT individuals describe their […] Read more »
The Presidential Race: Where Does It Go From Here?
… It’s obvious that President Obama did much, much better in the second debate than he did in the first — his answers were crisper and his criticisms of Mitt Romney more pointed. It’s fair to ask where this Barack Obama was two weeks ago, but for Democrats, Obama’s performance […] Read more »
Poll Indicates That Immigration Matters to Hispanic Voters in New Mexico
Hispanic voters comprise nearly 40% of the electorate in the state of New Mexico, making New Mexico the state where Latino voters have the greatest influence on the election outcomes. Consequently, many have suggested that New Mexico may provide a glimpse into the future of Latino politics nationally. This context […] Read more »
October Surmise: Predicting The Next President
Predicting a presidential winner is one of America’s favorite pastimes in an election year. Pundits and bloggers rely on introspection and retrospection for their predictions. The politerati prognosticate at Aspen Institute round tables and in the Cambridge Journal. Pollsters crunch survey data to divine a victor. Everybody gets in on […] Read more »
2nd Debate Also a Ratings Hit, Drawing 65.6 Million At-Home Viewers
The second debate between President Obama and Mitt Romney reached nearly as many people as the first debate, according to Nielsen, reflecting robust and sustained interest in the presidential election three weeks before Election Day. [cont.] Brian Stelter, New York Times Read more »
Never mind that Gallup poll, but pay attention to Wisconsin
The question that has occupied my mind in the previous few weeks is whether the divide between the state and national polling can keep up. State polls had suggested that Mitt Romney has rough road to 270 electoral votes, while the national polls actually had him ahead of President Obama. […] Read more »