President Obama and Mitt Romney enter the closing week of the campaign in an exceedingly narrow race, according to the latest poll by The New York Times and CBS News, with more voters now viewing Mr. Romney as a stronger leader on the economy and Mr. Obama as a better […] Read more »
Storm puts close race on pause
Before Superstorm Sandy put the presidential race on pause, President Obama held just a one-point lead over Mitt Romney nationally, according to a new CBS News/ New York Times poll, while voters continue to see Romney as stronger on the economy. In the final days of the campaign, the storm […] Read more »
Tighter Gender Gap, Sharper Partisanship – But No Change in the Bottom Line
A tightening of the gender gap and a closer race among political independents mark trends among likely voters the past several days, but with no meaningful change to the bottom line in the evenly matched 2012 presidential race. [cont.] Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Chance of Split Electoral-Popular Vote Very Real
Despite the playing field pretty much agreed upon, when you get down to the last handful or so of states, the best polling firms from each party are coming up with widely disparate results, with very different turnout assumptions as the best explanation for the disparity. [cont.] Charlie Cook Read more »
WaPo-ABC tracking poll: Popular vote > electoral college
Most likely voters — including both Democrats and Republicans — say the winner of the presidential election should be decided by popular vote, not the electoral college, according to the latest release of the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen, Washington Post Read more »
Romney Has a Problem In Pennsylvania: Math
With just one week before next Tuesday’s presidential election, the Romney campaign has apparently decided to embark on a last-minute effort to win the Keystone State. But while Pennsylvania is always tempting for Republicans, there’s a reason Democrats always seem to win by a slight margin. [cont.] Nate Cohn, The […] Read more »