Three days until Election Day, President Barack Obama maintains his lead in the key battleground state of Ohio and is locked in a close contest with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in Florida, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. In Ohio, Obama holds a six-point advantage over Romney […] Read more »
Forecasting Tuesday
Less than a week before the election, many observers across the political spectrum say that they believe a victory for President Obama is highly likely. Others say that it’s reckless to predict the future with any kind of certainty. Nate Silver of the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog explains to […] Read more »
Video: David Axelrod and Rich Beeson see myths emerging from the other side
David Axelrod and Rich Beeson speak with Gerald Seib of The Wall Street Journal. Read more »
The Turnout Questions
The divided nature of the U.S. has been a constant theme in the 2012 presidential campaign with the discussion of gaps, divides and splits in the electorate driving much of the coverage. By now political watchers can recite the demographic advantages of each candidate by rote. … But as Tuesday […] Read more »
Interactive Graphic: 512 Paths to the White House
Select a winner in the most competitive states below to see all the paths to victory available for either candidate. [cont.] Mike Bostock & Shan Carter, New York Times Read more »
On the Big Night, Forecasters Strain to Make Correct Call
Behind the decisions that news organizations will make Tuesday night about when to call states for either presidential candidate lies a complex mix of polling, vote counts, statistical models and subjective judgment. Already a consortium of five television networks and the Associated Press has been funding phone surveys to determine […] Read more »