With President Barack Obama’s decisive victory in the 2012 election, he becomes the first Democrat since Franklin Delano Roosevelt—and the only president since Ronald Reagan—to win two consecutive elections with more than 50 percent of the popular vote. … A potent mix of demographics, a steadily improving economy, a clear […] Read more »
The Real Mandate: CAF/Democracy Corps Election Poll 2012
Warren Buffett has famously said that of course there’s a class war, “and my class has been winning.” But in this election, Mitt Romney – the candidate of, by and for the 1 percent – lost. And he lost significantly because the middle class responded to a class war debate, […] Read more »
It was attitudes not demographics that determined the US campaign
… A lot has been written about how divided a country the US has become, with support for the two parties split down race, age and gender lines. But looking more closely, are demographics really the most important angle? … Important, yes, but you could also argue that demographics are […] Read more »
The Presidential Polls Were Right After All — But the Argument Continues
In the end, after all the unskewing, the re-weighting and the hand-wringing, the polls were right — for the most part. … But the election also showed the polling industry is still facing increasing challenges related to how the various polls are conducted. The demographics of the country are changing, […] Read more »
Election Reinforces Divide Between Millennials, Baby Boomers
There was no exit sign, no milepost. But in this week’s election, America unmistakably turned onto the road of sustained competition and conflict between the brown and the gray. … About two-fifths of millennials are nonwhite, and that number rises in the generation born after them. By contrast, the baby […] Read more »
More Evidence that Obama’s Victory Reflects the Economic Fundamentals
If you think the “fundamentals” (and by the “fundamentals,” I mean the economy) were stacked in Mitt Romney’s favor in the 2012 presidential election, you’re not alone. You share the prevailing beliefs of many political observers. … Most versions of their explanations go something like this: the fundamentals were in […] Read more »