… This election season the Obama campaign won a reputation for drawing on the tools of social science. … Less well known is that the Obama campaign also had a panel of unpaid academic advisers. The group — which calls itself the “consortium of behavioral scientists,” or COBS — provided […] Read more »
The Extraordinary Delusions of the 2012 Election
… There are two striking things to observe about this moment. The first is how good a job professional pollsters did, and the second is how robust the social consensus was on the right that Romney was going to win. … What is important is how well pollsters did in […] Read more »
Red Versus Blue in a New Light
… The maps we have made show that the election was not just about red and blue states. … [C]ontrary to what you have heard, there’s only a strong red America-blue America split toward the top of the income distribution. Toward the bottom, the electoral map is a sea of blue. […] Read more »
Wishful Thinking
Last week’s election is open to so many interpretations, many seemingly contradictory, that it offers something for almost anyone of any ideological or partisan stripe. Let’s take a closer look at the truth behind a few of these selective interpretations. [cont.] Charlie Cook Read more »
Three Keys From the Exit Polls
Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters. And, we have to admit it is us, not them. [cont.] Glen Bolger, Public Opinion Strategies Read more »
The GOP Has Problems With White Voters, Too
… Romney’s strong national showing among white voters was almost exclusively driven by historic support from Southern and Appalachian white voters. … Outside the South, Romney’s performance among white voters was anything but historic. He ran behind Bush’s tallies in most of the northern half of the United States. [cont.] […] Read more »