Bad Bet: Why Republicans Can’t Win With Whites Alone

This much is undisputed: In 2012, President Obama lost white voters by a larger margin than any winning presidential candidate in U.S. history. In his reelection, Obama lost ground from 2008 with almost every conceivable segment of the white electorate. With several key groups of whites, he recorded the weakest […] Read more »

‘Missing Voters’ in the 2012 Election: Not so white, not so Republican

Do “missing white voters” offer hope for the Republican Party in future presidential elections? … We have argued that the “missing white voters” theory is unrealistic for several reasons. The most important is that it ignores the missing nonwhite voters — data on voter turnout in 2012 show that a […] Read more »