… According to a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday as the roll call at the convention was about to begin, nearly seven in ten Republicans say that the former Massachusetts governor should be the Republican nominee, with three in ten saying they would rather see their party choose someone else […] Read more »
An Early Electoral College Guide: Which States Will and Won’t Matter in 2012
… If the Electoral College does come into play, on what will the outcome hinge? As we head toward to Republican convention, here’s a late-summer assessment—not so much a prediction as a viewer’s guide to the fall contest. [cont.] William Galston, The New Republic Read more »
Race and the 2012 election
Most of the issues dominating the 2012 election make sense. There’s the economy, of course. The budget deficit. Medicare. Obamacare. But click through the “videos” section of Mitt Romney’s Web site and you’ll see something odd: His campaign is running more ads about welfare than just about any other issue. […] Read more »
How Romney’s Mormon Problem Became His Greatest Asset
One year ago, Romney’s faith was a problem, not an asset. The conventional wisdom held that Romney’s strength was his background as a successful businessperson and competent, technocratic, turnaround guru, while Mormonism threatened his support among the Evangelical Christians central to his chances of securing the presidency. Now, with two […] Read more »
Phase V of the Campaign Begins
… Conventions have little official function anymore. So their value to the candidates — the value that can produce an average five-percentage-point “bounce” in a candidate’s standing in the polls — is based on the intensive media coverage that focuses voters on the party’s ticket. Mitt Romney’s campaign faces a […] Read more »
The 10 numbers that matter in the new Washington Post-ABC News poll
The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, which was released this morning, is chock full of fascinating and, at times, contradictory indicators about what people think of President Obama and Mitt Romney, the state of the country and where we are headed on November 6. We’ve already written plenty about what’s […] Read more »