As the American public has learned more about Mitt Romney over the course of the past year, his image has changed substantially. … Overall, 42% of the words volunteered by respondents are clearly negative, most commonly liar, arrogant, crook, out of touch, distrust and fake. Fewer (28%) offer words that […] Read more »
Measuring a Convention Bounce
Polling generally becomes more accurate as you get closer to Election Day. The exception to the rule is in the period immediately after the party conventions, when the polls can be a wild ride. In some past elections, candidates have received as much as a 25-percentage-point lift in the polls […] Read more »
5 Things the Polls Tell Us about Paul Ryan
On the eve of Ryan’s speech at the Republican National Convention, here is a recap of several key findings. [cont.] John Sides, George Washington U. See also, at PollingReport.com: Paul Ryan | Medicare Read more »
Why 2012 isn’t 2008 — in 1 chart
There’s been lots (and lots) written about how and why the 2008 election and the 2012 contest are so different. But, we’ve never seen the case made so clearly as in a new chart put together by Simon Jackman, a professor of political science at Stanford University. What Jackman aimed […] Read more »
Americans Split on Paul Ryan; One in Four Have No Opinion
Americans have mixed views of Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, who will be confirmed as the GOP’s vice presidential nominee on Wednesday night, with 38% saying their opinion is favorable, and 36% saying it is unfavorable. … Republicans’ views of Ryan heading into his convention speech are overwhelmingly positive, with 73% […] Read more »
GOP Convention: Paul Ryan, Ann Romney, Gov. Christie on ‘Polls’
… Christie certainly got my attention when he mentioned polls in his speech on Tuesday night. Here’s what he said: “There’s only one thing missing now. Leadership. It takes leadership that you don’t get from reading a poll. You see, Mr. President — real leaders don’t follow polls. Real leaders […] Read more »