Campaign 2012 has reached the stage where partisans have moved from attacking their opponents to attacking the polls. … One common complaint in the current conservative fusillade is that many 2012 polls are using the “2008 turnout model.” … In fact, the “2008 turnout model” critique is so far off […] Read more »
Among Obama supporters, enthusiasm hasn’t dimmed
A common theme we keep hearing from conservatives who are unhappy with the public polls is that the surveys assume a 2012 electorate that looks a lot like the one in 2008. For instance, The Weekly Standard’s Jay Cost argues that we should be wary of polls showing a strong […] Read more »
Public Criticism of Romney’s Campaign Grows
Public criticism of Mitt Romney’s race for the White House has risen sharply, with six in 10 Americans expressing a negative opinion of how he’s handling his campaign and a majority responding unfavorably to his comments on people who don’t pay income taxes. [cont.] Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Americans Feeling Better Than in 2009 Amid Skepticism on Obama
Public confidence in the U.S. economy is bolstering President Barack Obama’s re-election chances even as Americans continue to view his stewardship skeptically. [cont.] Mike Dorning, Bloomberg Read more »
Who will abandon Obama and Romney on Election Day?
Three new Washington Post polls in swing states reveal a positive snapshot for President Obama, who holds leads in Ohio, Florida and Virginia. For most voters, the decision is over: More than eight in 10 of each candidate’s supporters say they will “definitely” vote for them. But, which pieces of […] Read more »
Are the Polls Tilted Toward Obama?
… [A] lack of weighing [for partisan identification] creates its own problems, which many pollsters often fail to acknowledge. Specifically, many polls have, in my judgment, overestimated the Democrats’ standing right now. I base this conclusion not on a secret, black box statistical methodology or some crystal ball, but rather […] Read more »