New York Times numbers guru Nate Silver says recent polling clearly shows President Obama as the front runner. While the lead may be small, Silver concedes, likening it to a one-touchdown lead in football game, “late in the fourth quarter, that can become pretty meaningful especially if you have kind […] Read more »
Shades of 1996
… Romney’s negatives, particularly in swing states, have grown to the point that if allowed to solidify, his opportunity to recover will vanish. … If the presidential race stays on its current course for another week or 10 days, Romney faces the very real prospect that Republican donors, super PACs, […] Read more »
‘47%’ Was Bad for Romney; Ryan Has Been Deadly
The conventional wisdom on Obama’s recent surge is that it’s due largely to Mitt Romney’s 47% disaster, and there’s clearly something to this. … But it’s worth pointing out another dynamic that’s been overlooked here: The escalating disaster that is Paul Ryan. [cont.] Noam Scheiber, New Republic Read more »
Obama leads in N.H., tighter in Nev., N.C.
President Barack Obama leads Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, and the two are locked in tight contests in Nevada and North Carolina, according to a new series of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls released Thursday. Obama’s leads in each of the states are fueled by voters’ improved […] Read more »
Most voters want change, even as Obama holds edge
The latest Fox News poll finds the race for the White House holds steady, with 48 percent of likely voters backing the Obama-Biden ticket and 43 percent backing the Romney-Ryan ticket, if the election were held today. That’s unchanged from two weeks ago, after the Democratic convention. [cont.] Dana Blanton, […] Read more »
The truth about 2012 polls
In the 2012 race for the White House President Obama is ahead, but the polls are misleading. … To be sure, Obama is ahead in this race. But by how much has become a serious point of contention and one that deserves further examination. [cont.] Doug Schoen, Fox News Read more »