In July 2007, as candidates on both sides of the political aisle jockeyed for position in the forthcoming open-seat presidential election, the Republican Party was facing an election environment headlined by a president from their party with a 29% job approval rating. Today, 16 months before the 2016 open-seat presidential […] Read more »
Why Bernie Sanders’s Momentum Is Not Built to Last
Bernie Sanders is surging. He trailed Hillary Rodham Clinton by as much as 50 points in the polls a few months ago, but he has pulled within 10 points in New Hampshire, according to some surveys. He has doubled his support in Iowa over the last month. … But the […] Read more »
The Receding Of Sarah Palin, In One Chart
Fox News has decided not to renew its contract with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin — the 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee’s latest step away from the political spotlight. Indeed, we’ve come a long way from the media whirlwind that greeted Palin when Sen. John McCain put her on the 2008 […] Read more »
A Clinton candidacy: Voters’ early impressions
Reports that Hillary Clinton will launch her presidential campaign April 12 raise inevitable questions: Will she be a stronger candidate now than she was in 2008? And which factors may help – or hurt – the former secretary of state in a second run for the White House? A poll […] Read more »
Clinton Favorability Among Dems Better Than Last Campaign
Hillary Clinton’s net favorability rating among Democrats — defined as the percentage who have a favorable opinion of her minus the percentage with an unfavorable opinion — is higher now than at a similar point leading up to the 2008 presidential election. Her net favorability is also similar to Al […] Read more »
Ted Cruz Says Obama Won Because Evangelicals Stayed Home. Is That True?
Texas Senator Ted Cruz gave his audience at Liberty University on Monday one concrete-sounding reason why he could win the presidency. Too many evangelical Christians, he said, were “staying home” and handing presidential elections to Democrats. … This isn’t just one senator’s theory. The fear that evangelical voters are staying […] Read more »