Bernie Sanders is said to be surging, Joe Biden is considering jumping in the race, and Hillary Rodham Clinton’s unfavorable ratings are the worst they’ve been in her 23-plus years in national politics — lower than they were in 2007 or 2008. Whether you call it wishful thinking or a […] Read more »
Trump Would Lose Badly In A Third-Party Bid, But He Could Take The Republican Down, Too
Donald Trump is making noise about an independent bid for president. If the Republican National Committee doesn’t treat him fairly, Trump says, he’ll be more likely to launch a third-party run. I don’t know if he is at all serious, but I do know two things: History suggests that an […] Read more »
Clinton scandals may have defeated one presidential candidate. Could they do it again?
With Hillary Rodham Clinton’s questionable e-mail practices in the news, many people have asked whether it will matter for the 2016 election. And the most typical answer is that it won’t matter much, if at all. … Larry Sabato writes that if you examine presidential elections since 1900 “you’ll find […] Read more »
Clinton Favorability Among Dems Better Than Last Campaign
Hillary Clinton’s net favorability rating among Democrats — defined as the percentage who have a favorable opinion of her minus the percentage with an unfavorable opinion — is higher now than at a similar point leading up to the 2008 presidential election. Her net favorability is also similar to Al […] Read more »
The Simple Reason Why Republican Voters Aren’t Settling for Jeb Bush
On the right, the return of Mitt Romney—which I prefer to call the Romneyssiance—has sparked fresh new debates about why Jeb Bush was ever the great 2016 GOP hope. Why does he inspire such skepticism, from the right and the center-right, when his brother didn’t? … This discussion excises a […] Read more »